Project Info
Project Request Date: 5/14/2018
Project Requested By: William Madden – AECOM
Principle Investigator: Eric Green
Project Write-up
Initial Request:
“Safety Performance Function for KY 207 in Greenup County between the KY 67 interchange and KY 693 Departure intersection, MP 10.93 to MP 15.88. This is for KYTC project number 09-8509.00.”
Final Rural Two-Lane SPF and Adjustment Factors
Base Conditions
9’ lanes, 3’ shoulders, Horizontal curvature= Class A, Grade= Class A, no median, no intersections
Sample | 3119 | 100-200 intersections* |
Length | 215.8455 | 100-200 miles* |
Crashes | 854 | 300 crashes per year* |
R2 | 0.515857 | Higher values preferred |
CDP | 13.5941 | Less than 5% |
MACD | 43.40788 | Smaller values preferred |
MAD | 0.355154 | Smaller values preferred |
Theta | 1.531877 | Higher values preferred |
Alpha | -4.49214 | (Intercept) zvalue= 8.77117005270637e-29 |
Beta | 0.844042 | lnADT zvalue= 6.2937196537382e-51 |
StdErr | 0.273624 | |
AIC | 3581.527 |
Lane width AF (Modified from HSM)
Lane Width (ft) | AADT <400 | AADT 400-2000 | AADT>2000 |
9 or less (base) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
10 | 0.97 | 1.02+.000175*(AADT-400)/ 1.05+.000281*(AADT-400) | 0.87 |
11 | 0.96 | 1.01+.000025*(AADT-400)/ 1.05+.000281*(AADT-400) | 0.7 |
12 or more | 0.95 | 1/(1.05+.000281*(AADT-400) | 0.67 |
Shoulder Width AF (http://www.cmfclearinghouse.org/study_detail.cfm?stid=338)
Shoulder Width | AF | Crash Severity | Roadway Type | Area |
0 | 1.145 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
1 | 1.12 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
2 | 1.03 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
3 | 1 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
4 | 0.975 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
5 | 0.945 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
6 | 0.93 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
7 | 0.905 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
8 | 0.875 | All | Two-Lane | Rural |
Horizontal Curvature AF (http://www.cmfclearinghouse.org/study_detail.cfm?stid=481)
Grade AF (HSM)
Grade | AF |
0-3% | 1 |
3-6% | 1.1 |
>6% | 1.16 |
Median Installation AF (http://www.cmfclearinghouse.org/detail.cfm?facid=24)
0.88
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